Analysis of BJP's Loss in Uttar Pradesh Election

Insights into the factors contributing to the Bharatiya Janata Party's defeat in the Uttar Pradesh election, despite initial predictions of victory.

Fall in Ayodhya, drop in Varanasi

INTERACTIVE - Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra results_june5_2024 copy@3x-1717606100

In 1992, the BJP led a campaign resulting in the demolition of the 16th-century Babri mosque in the UP temple town of Ayodhya. Modi consecrated a grand Ram temple at the same spot in January this year. Yet, sentiments against the BJP were evident in both Ayodhya and Varanasi, even though Modi won in the latter.

Infrastructure developments in Varanasi have altered its traditional identity, raising concerns among residents. Despite promises, issues like the cleanliness of the Ganges river remain unresolved, leading to dissatisfaction among the locals.

Losing the Dalit vote

People beat drums in front of a vehicle carrying a large garlanded portrait of Bhimrao Ramji Ambedkar, the chief architect of the Indian Constitution, as they celebrate his birth anniversary in Mumbai, India, Sunday, April 14, 2024. Ambedkar, a Dalit, and a prominent Indian freedom fighter, outlawed discrimination based on caste. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

Observers attribute the BJP's loss to its statements and campaign slogans, particularly alarming Dalits about potential changes to constitutional rights. The opposition INDIA alliance managed to unite Dalits, OBCs, and Muslims against the BJP, leading to significant shifts in voter support.

The BJP's comments regarding Muslims during the campaign further mobilized the community to support the opposition alliance, impacting the election outcome in Uttar Pradesh.