While Israel has provided a glimmer of hope with its willingness to review a recent ceasefire proposal from Hamas, the situation in Gaza remains far from resolution.

Israel had hinted at a "next phase" preceding Hamas' response, suggesting a conflict with reduced intensity but a sustained Israeli military presence prioritizing combat over captive release.

The government maintains that the conflict persists until Hamas faces total defeat. Despite Israel's assertions, Hamas and other factions are regrouping in areas previously declared under Israeli control, indicating an absence of imminent resolution.

This indicates an indefinite extent of Israel's presence in Gaza, with Prime Minister Netanyahu incentivized to prolong the situation according to analysts.

Analysts suggest that Israel's actions, combined with strategic considerations, hint at a reoccupation of Gaza aimed at displacing Palestinians from their land.

Objectives

Prior to the land assault on Rafah by Israel, political pressure mounted on Netanyahu from global protests, including those in US college campuses.

Despite US President Biden's statement on withholding bomb deliveries if Rafah was invaded, Israel proceeded with an assault on Rafah without significant opposition.

Post-incident, cease-fire discussions faltered, showcasing an improved domestic standing for Netanyahu as he possibly shifts objectives.

Analysis suggests Israel's primary aim is to establish lasting dominance in Gaza and diminish Palestinian presence through demographic reshaping.

By establishing a "buffer zone" and altering Gaza's landscape, Israel is striving for a West Bank-like control over the territory.

Israel’s dilemma

Netanyahu's resistance to a Palestinian state and alternative proposals have not gained international approval.

Recent proposals involve Arab states aiding in Gaza's restoration and administration post-conflict, although there are uncertainties regarding their interest in Gaza's day-to-day governance.

Despite internal dissent against Netanyahu, Israeli state policy might remain unchanged even with a new government in place.

Analyzing the situation, Israel might face challenges in withdrawing from Gaza due to its military's deep-rooted presence and political complexities.

What would it take to withdraw?

Israeli military movements near the Lebanon border hint at escalating conflict but suggest no immediate complete military withdrawal, which would require extraordinary circumstances to occur.

Speculation indicated that Israel aims to establish lasting military bases, implying a persistent conflict unless external factors intervene.

With uncertainties surrounding US policy changes or significant defeats, Israel's military presence in Gaza is poised to endure without a clear resolution in sight.