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French National Assembly election: What to Expect and the Stakes Involved

French National Assembly election: What to Expect and the Stakes Involved

A look into the upcoming French National Assembly election and the potential outcomes for President Macron and the far right.

French voters are preparing to choose 577 members of the National Assembly in what could signal a significant political shift.

The elections follow President Emmanuel Macron's call for a snap vote after a defeat to Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally party in the European Parliament elections.

Polls indicate a strong lead for RN at 36 percent, followed by NFP at 28.5 percent and Macron's Ensemble at 21 percent.

The potential outcome might force Macron into a government with an opposing prime minister.

How do the French elections work?

INTERACTIVE_FRENCH ELECTION -EU-_JUN27_2024-1719487781 INTERACTIVE_FRENCH ELECTION -EU-_JUN27_2024-1719487781

The voting process opens and closes at different times across France to elect a majority of 289 seats in the National Assembly.

A voter turnout of at least 25 percent and a majority win are necessary for results to be announced.

Contests often proceed to a second round of voting on July 7.

Candidates must secure 12.5 percent of the vote in the first round to qualify for the second round.

Why is this election so different?

Election boards are seen ahead of the June 30 and July 7 French parliamentary elections, in Paris, France [Benoit Tessier/Reuters] Election boards are seen ahead of the June 30 and July 7 French parliamentary elections, in Paris, France [Benoit Tessier/Reuters]

This election marks a departure from the usual post-presidential vote pattern, setting the stage for cohabitation between an unpopular president and a newly elected government.

The shift suggests a change in governance and the decline of Macronism.

How did we get here?

Macron's initial support dwindled due to perceived aloofness and right-wing policies, leading to a potential end to his solo leadership era.

Public discontent, notably showcased by the Yellow Vest movement, highlighted dissatisfaction with Macron's governance style.

What is Le Pen’s ‘dediabolisation’?

Le Pen orchestrated a strategy to broaden the RN's appeal by distancing from extreme rhetoric and targeting a broader voter base.

The party shifted focus to social welfare and immigration policies to attract voters from diverse backgrounds.

What would a far-right win mean?

A victory for RN could lead to policies targeting migrants, Muslims, and stringent border controls.

The party's priorities include banning the Islamic headscarf in public and scrapping birthright citizenship.

And what about foreign policy?

A potential shift under RN leadership could impact France's stance on EU integration and foreign relations, particularly concerning Russia.

A Bardella-led government might cause tensions within the EU, with implications for France's role in European politics.

Source: ALJAZEERA
Source: ALJAZEERA

ALJAZEERA MEDIA NETWORK

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